CNN/Western Republican Leadership Conference GOP Primary debate in Las Vegas tonight will be the last for a while. You'll be able to watch it from the CNN website, starting at 8 pm ET (OCT 18). All eyes will be on Herman Cain, who's surged in the polls but come under increasing criticism over the math behind his 9-9-9 plan, and accusations that despite claiming to have a 'team of economists' who worked on it, the only one he would name not turned out to not be an economist at all. If you don't catch it, I'll have an analysis up post-debate
Update: Huntsman is boycotting the debate to protest Nevadas Jan 14. Primary date
|Jobs Jobs Jobs Jobs Jobs Jobs|
|I'm serious guys.|
"I'm not focused on that, I'm focused on my job right now. And the answer's probably going to be no -the answer's going to be no."Of course, this does not in any way shape or form stop him from actually doing it. While he would be very likely to turn down an offer from Bachman or Palin, a 'serious' offer from Romney or maybe Perry would be hard to resist. As Chris Christie showed, even someone who's repeatedly declined in the past can be persuaded to at least consider the possibility of a run when the 'serious people' come knocking on your door. And I still believe that a Romney/Rubio ticket would be the armageddon-esque nightmare-come-true for the Obama Campaign team. We'll wait and see.
|... But that shouldn't stop you from buying my book.|
Palins support among conservatives has been falling for quite some time after they grew fed up with her unending 'tease' routine of 'maybe I will run maybe I won't, either case buy my newest book please'.
|Swaggerin' back into the race.|
Probably what made it so tempting for Christie to consider a run, despite the obstacles.
"Among Republican voters, Christie and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney are tied at 17 percent each, followed by 12 percent for businessman Herman Cain, 10 percent for Texas Gov. Rick Perry and no other candidate above 7 percent.
In a 2012 presidential matchup, Christie gets 45 percent to President Obama's 42 percent. Christie won 87 - 5 percent among Republicans and 45 - 37 percent among independent voters, while Democrats backed Obama 86 - 8 percent.[... ] This survey shows Gov. Christie is walking away from the possibility – at least today – to be elected president of the United States"
The party's over folks.
Chris Christie has (officially, this time) declined to run for President. While he has done this many times before, this time is a final "no". In recent weeks many of the 'serious' members of the GOP elite, including top strategists and donors, had encouraged Christie to run after seeing Perrys dismal performances during debates, among other things. When some of the smartest and most influential people affiliated with the party tell you you could run for President and win, it could make anyone reconsider. But after a week of consideration, Christie (rightfully, in my opinion) decided against running.
This leaves Mitt Romney as the definitive front runner. A Washington Post-ABC News Poll puts him back at 25%, with Perry tied with Herman Cain at 16%.
(If you're wondering about the bet, I had placed a weeks worth of my salary on an InTrade.com bet that Christie would not seek the nomination, to prove a point. A few days ago, Christie had an 26% chance of running on InTrade. After he dropped out, Romney surged from 47% to 59% probability of winning the nomination.)